Why Nuclear Energy Is Still a Great Investment Opportunity (Yes, Even Now)

Back in one of the very first posts on this blog, published in January 2025, I wrote about what I believed would be the real investment trend of the next 10 years, a trend that, at the time, no one was really talking about: nuclear energy.

I won’t go into all the reasons why I think nuclear is one of the most promising long-term sectors, if you’re interested in the full breakdown, you can read my original analysis here, but today I want to focus on what has happened in recent months and explain why there’s still time to jump on this train.

Sure, it would’ve been better a few months ago (spoken like someone who bought Oklo stock back in June 2024 at around $8.5 per share, which now trades at $75.5, nearly a 9x return in just over a year). But the opportunity is far from over.

Nuclear Momentum Is Accelerating, And Governments Are Leading the Charge

Over the past seven months, interest in nuclear energy has exploded. Several nuclear-related stocks have posted double, or even triple, digit gains. But this isn’t just another speculative bubble, governments are taking real action.

In the U.S., for instance, President Trump signed four executive orders on May 23 focused on reviving the nuclear sector. The event at the White House included key industry stakeholders, including developers of Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), which are widely seen as the most promising nuclear tech going forward.

The takeaway? Momentum is building, and it’s being backed by policy, funding, and regulation.

“Did I Miss the Train?” Not Quite, Here’s Why It’s Still Early

Many investors might feel like nuclear is the next AI, something that’s already taken off. But unlike AI, which is full of promise but still searching for real-world business models, nuclear energy is proven, practical, and deeply needed.

Here are a few key reasons why this is still a ground-floor opportunity:

1. The Technology Race Is Wide Open

We don’t yet know which technologies will dominate (SMRs, fast reactors, fusion?), which companies will win, or which business models will scale profitably. This uncertainty may deter conservative investors, but for those willing to take some risk, it means plenty of upside.

2. Regulatory and Political Decisions Will Be Game-Changers

Nuclear is heavily regulated. In some countries, policies are already favorable; in others, they’re still under discussion. The good news? The global shift toward pro-nuclear regulation is real. Once key legislation and incentives fall into place, early movers could benefit massively.

3. We Know the World Will Need Way More Energy, We Just Don’t Know How Much

Between AI, electric vehicles, digital infrastructure, and even water desalination, global energy demand will skyrocket. Nuclear is one of the few technologies capable of delivering constant, large-scale, carbon-free power.

4. It’s a Vertically Diverse Sector

The nuclear ecosystem is broad and includes:

Reactor developers and builders (like Oklo, NuScale, TerraPower)
Uranium miners and enrichment companies (like Energy Fuels Inc.)
Utility providers integrating nuclear into their energy mix
Engineering and construction firms building critical infrastructure

This creates plenty of angles for investors, from hardware to materials to services.

5. The Fundamentals Are Real, Not Just Narrative

Unlike AI, which still struggles with commercialization in many areas, nuclear energy already powers entire countries. The historical drawbacks, high costs and long build times, are being addressed with new technologies like SMRs that offer faster deployment and lower capital requirements.

Case Study: Oklo

Let’s make it tangible. Just look at what’s happened with Oklo in the past few weeks.

The company has:

Successfully completed the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s pre-application review for its first commercial plant, the Aurora Powerhouse
Signed a key agreement with Kiewit Nuclear Solutions Co., which will be the lead construction partner for the Aurora plant in Idaho (scheduled for 2027–2028)
Announced a partnership with Liberty Energy to provide turnkey energy solutions that combine Liberty’s natural gas generation systems with Oklo’s advanced nuclear technology; this joint effort will initially rely on Liberty’s Forte natural gas generation and load management systems to meet immediate energy needs, while simultaneously laying the groundwork for the future integration of Oklo’s Aurora nuclear plants, offering zero-carbon baseload power in the years ahead.

In short: Oklo is no longer a future concept. It’s becoming an industrial reality.

What About Thematic ETFs?

I’m usually not a big fan of thematic ETFs. They tend to follow market hype and can expose investors to redundant fees and unbalanced portfolios.

But in this case, I’m willing to make an exception.

Here’s why:

The sector is emerging, but not overhyped
There are relatively few major players, making ETF exposure efficient
It’s heavily influenced by government regulation, meaning individual stock picking could be more volatile

Thematic ETFs allow investors to gain exposure to a broad range of companies, from miners to utilities to reactor tech developers—without betting everything on one horse. They offer a way to ride the trend while spreading the risk.

If you’re new to the sector or simply looking for a diversified entry point, this is one of the rare cases where a thematic ETF actually makes sense.

Final Thoughts

The nuclear energy trend is solid, structural, and still in its early days. Yes, some valuations have already jumped. But we’re far from a mature or saturated market.

As always, risks remain—but for long-term investors looking to align sustainability, innovation, and energy demand, nuclear could be one of the most compelling bets of the decade.

The True Cost of FOMO: How to Protect Your Portfolio from the Illusion of Easy Money

Investing should be a rational act. And yet, throughout history, human behavior in the markets has been anything but. Greed and fear alternate like tides, and today, one of the most dangerous emotional triggers for investors goes by a modern acronym: FOMO, the Fear of Missing Out. It’s a timeless instinct, but in today’s hyper-digital environment, it has evolved into a subtle but powerful threat—one that can turn even the most cautious saver into an unsuspecting victim.

What FOMO Really Means in Investing

FOMO in investing is the emotional urge to act quickly for fear of missing out on a supposedly unrepeatable opportunity. It’s not driven by financial analysis or macroeconomic outlooks—it’s sparked by rising charts, euphoric online chatter, and the feeling that everyone else is cashing in on something huge.

Platforms like Reddit, X, TikTok, and YouTube amplify this sensation. Seeing others seemingly profit in real time, while you sit on the sidelines, creates anxiety. And the only thing that seems to soothe it? Acting—buying now—before it’s too late.

The Perfect Environment for Fear of Being Left Behind

Never before has information moved faster than our ability to process it. Social platforms turn every opinion into a trend, every rumor into a headline, every stock into a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. The result? A marketplace driven more by noise than knowledge, where the loudest voice often wins, regardless of substance.

Accessing markets no longer requires a broker or financial advisor. All it takes is a smartphone and a debit card. While this has democratized investing, it has also left many without the tools—or the discipline—to navigate complexity and volatility.

How FOMO Can Damage Your Portfolio

FOMO distorts investment behavior in several dangerous ways:

It leads people to buy into already-overpriced assets, fueling speculative bubbles.
It causes portfolios to become dangerously concentrated in a few high-flying names.
It encourages frequent, impulsive changes to investment strategy—often at the worst times.

The numbers tell a hard truth: those who chase trends or try to time the market tend to underperform long-term investors with patience and discipline. The history of finance is filled with cautionary tales—GameStop, AMC, Dogecoin, or even various tech and green stocks driven by hype rather than fundamentals.

When GameStop Becomes a Case Study

In January 2021, GameStop went from struggling retailer to stock market sensation. Online communities like WallStreetBets orchestrated a coordinated buying spree, driving the price from a few dollars to over $120 in a matter of weeks. But those who bought at the top quickly watched their gains evaporate when the price fell back down.

GameStop wasn’t an isolated case—it was a pattern. The same dynamics repeated with different names, always ending the same way: with the last ones in holding the bag.

Who’s Most Affected by Financial FOMO?

New, young investors. People with little financial education. Users deeply immersed in social media. These groups are particularly vulnerable to FOMO.

Why? Because FOMO doesn’t just play on greed—it feeds on the need for social validation. In a world where likes, followers, and stories of success are currency, not participating in the latest trend feels like failure. Add to this the classic herd mentality—the more people do something, the more it seems like the right move—and you’ve got a recipe for collective irrationality.

How to Defend Yourself Against FOMO in Investing

1. Recognize the Problem

First, acknowledge that FOMO is real—and dangerous. Learn to filter the noise and separate entertainment from actual investment insight.

2. Commit to Ongoing, Multidisciplinary Learning

Successful investors study markets, industries, and company fundamentals. But they also study human psychology. Knowing your emotional triggers is half the battle.

3. Set Clear, Non-Negotiable Rules

Discipline protects you from yourself. Some useful guidelines:

Never invest more than 5% of your portfolio in a single stock.
Maintain diversification across asset classes.
Avoid making decisions based solely on unsolicited advice or internet hype.

4. Respect the Value of Time

A good investment idea today will still be good next week. If it only works in the heat of the moment, it’s not an investment—it’s a gamble.

5. Cool Down Your Emotions

Some investors implement mandatory reflection periods—three days, a week, even a month—before executing high-risk trades. Time helps enthusiasm settle and logic resurface.

Not Everything That Goes Up Is Built to Last

History teaches us that bubbles are eternal, even if the packaging changes. From the Dutch tulip mania in the 1600s to the dot-com boom of the 1990s, every generation has chased irrational dreams—and paid the price.

Social media has sped up these cycles, but it hasn’t changed their nature. Ultimately, true investments generate value over time, not overnight.

The Patient Investor Always Wins

Those who build solid financial plans—rooted in long-term goals and clear strategies—are less likely to get swept away by passing trends. Not because they’re resistant to change, but because they know where they’re going.

Patience, in investing, is a competitive advantage. The market rewards those who resist temptation, who are willing to let go of today’s hype in favor of tomorrow’s real returns.

Conclusion

Markets will always be full of noise. Full of voices promising easy money, quick wins, and massive upside—if only you act now. Resisting these siren calls takes mental strength and clarity of purpose.

FOMO is the perfect trap for those seeking thrills, not results. But investing isn’t an adrenaline rush—it’s a marathon. And those who remember that, especially when the crowd runs the other way, gain an edge no algorithm or viral trend can ever replicate.

Gold Investment in 2025: Why the Safe Haven is Back in the Spotlight

In an era defined by economic uncertainty, persistent inflation, and rising geopolitical tensions, gold is once again asserting itself as a strategic asset for both individual and institutional investors. The year 2025 marks a pivotal moment for the yellow metal—not just for its price performance, but for its renewed role as a hedge against market volatility and a tool for portfolio diversification.

Why Gold is Gaining Momentum in 2025

Global central banks are facing a delicate balancing act. While inflation remains above targets, slowing growth and fragile markets demand monetary easing. In this environment, investors are seeking stable, uncorrelated assets that preserve purchasing power.

As a result, demand for gold is on the rise. Central banks—particularly in Asia and Latin America—are reducing their reliance on the US dollar by increasing gold reserves. Simultaneously, retail investors are returning to gold as a hedge against fiat currency depreciation and market shocks. These forces have contributed to record-high prices in the first quarter of 2025.

How to Invest in Gold: The Main Options

1. Physical Gold: Tangible Value with Practical Limits

Buying physical gold (bars or coins) is the most traditional method of investment. It offers direct ownership and protection from currency devaluation and systemic risks. However, it comes with downsides: storage, insurance, no passive income, and potentially limited liquidity.

For long-term preservation, mid-sized bars (e.g., 50g or 100g) strike a good balance between cost efficiency and ease of resale.

2. Gold ETFs: Efficient Market Exposure

Gold ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) offer an accessible, low-cost way to gain exposure to gold prices. They trade like stocks and require no storage or handling of the physical metal. However, investors should be aware that not all ETFs are backed by actual gold—some are derivatives-based.

In 2025, the best strategy is to focus on physically backed gold ETFs stored in audited vaults. Top options include SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and Invesco Physical Gold (SGLD).

3. Gold Mining Stocks and Funds: Higher Risk, Higher Reward

Investing in gold mining companies provides an indirect exposure to the gold price, often with leverage on upward movements. While potentially more profitable, this strategy also involves higher volatility and company-specific risk.

Diversification is essential—consider gold mining ETFs like VanEck Gold Miners (GDX) or VanEck Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) to spread risk across the sector.

Common Mistakes to Avoid When Investing in Gold

Chasing prices at peak levels: Gold is a long-term hedge, not a short-term speculation.
Ignoring currency effects: For non-USD investors, exchange rate volatility can impact returns.
Investing without a clear strategy: Without defined objectives, gold may underperform or act counterproductively.

How Much Gold Should You Hold in Your Portfolio?

The optimal allocation to gold depends on the investor’s profile and existing asset mix. Most modern portfolio theories suggest a gold allocation between 5% and 15%, depending on:

Risk tolerance
Exposure to cyclical or fiat-based assets
Views on inflation and macroeconomic risk

Some investors use a tactical approach: increasing gold holdings in times of market stress and reducing exposure during periods of stability.

The Strategic Role of Gold in Modern Portfolios

Gold should not be seen as a speculative bet, but as a strategic insurance policy. In a world where “normal” is increasingly unstable, gold offers resilience. When properly integrated into an investment strategy, gold can:

Preserve capital during inflationary cycles
Reduce portfolio volatility
Hedge against systemic shocks

In 2025, investing in gold means taking control of your financial security—beyond trends, beyond hype, and with a long-term view.

Long-Term Investing: What Does “Long-Term” Really Mean?

One of the most insightful graphs for anyone interested in investing shows the annualized returns of the S&P 500 from various starting points. It acts as a time map, revealing year-by-year what would have happened to your capital if you had invested at a given point and left your money to grow for 1, 3, 5, 10, or 20 years. It’s a vivid snapshot of just how crucial time is in the world of investing.

Let’s take an example: If you had started investing in 2005, you would have achieved an average annual return of 3% after six years and 8% after ten years. These numbers tell different stories depending on your perspective: a weak decade or one defined by resilience. What stands out, however, is the dominance of green on the graph. In the vast majority of cases, the longer you invest, the better the returns. This isn’t just a motivational slogan—it’s the proven strength of the stock market over time.

When Does “Long-Term” Really Become Long-Term?

In financial theory, 10 years are often considered “long-term”. But in real life, 10 years can feel like a lifetime. It’s the time that separates a thirty-year-old from a forty-year-old, a recent graduate from a seasoned professional, or someone without children from a parent. In a decade, everything can change. Yet, in finance, 10 years might not be enough.

The stock market can be brutal in the short term. There have been periods over the past century where even the world’s most renowned index, the S&P 500, delivered negative or almost zero returns. Anyone who invested everything at the wrong time and endured two consecutive crashes would have seen their investments suffer greatly. However, looking beyond 15 years, there has never been a period in modern history where the returns were negative.

Over 20 years, the annual return of the S&P 500 has always ranged from 6% to 10%. In other words: the risk of loss diminishes with time, and so does the anxiety over entering the market at the “wrong” moment.

Time Matters Much More Than Timing

Many investors, especially at the start, obsess over “when to enter.” They wait for a market crash, fear a peak, and analyze charts as if they hold prophetic power. But when the time horizon is long, the exact moment you enter matters far less than how long you remain invested.

For instance, the worst annual return in one year was -37%, and the best was +38%. Over five years, the range tightens to -2% versus +18% annually. After ten years, it spans from -1% to +17%. After twenty years, all the returns are positive.

This tells us that the most important factor isn’t the day you invest, but how long you stay invested.

You Don’t Need Exorbitant Returns

An often-overlooked aspect of investing is that not everyone needs to chase high returns. The goal isn’t to outperform the market but to achieve your financial goals while minimizing stress and effort.

For example, if you have €100,000 and need it for a trip or another short-term goal, investing in a money market ETF offering around 3.5% per year is perfectly sufficient. Secure and stable.

On the other hand, if you have €1,000,000 and are aiming for a steady income, a modest 4% return would generate €40,000 annually—enough to cover a comfortable standard of living without major surprises.

But if you’re young, with low initial capital, high saving potential, and a long time horizon (20-30 years), accepting volatility and investing primarily in stocks makes sense. It’s in these years that returns accumulate, and time becomes your best ally.

The Secret? Planning

Good financial planning isn’t just about plugging a 7% return into a compound interest calculator and seeing how much you’ll have in 30 years. It’s about asking yourself:

What returns do I really need?
When will I need the money?
How much volatility can I tolerate without losing sleep?
Can I afford to “forget” about this investment for 15 years?

The answers to these questions will guide your decisions: asset allocation, time horizon, and the right instruments for your goals.

Conclusion

The stock market remains the cornerstone for long-term investors. However, the definition of “long-term” is subjective and depends on personal circumstances. For some, it’s 10 years, for others 30. What matters most is understanding where you are in your life’s journey and adjusting your strategy accordingly.

Rather than striving for the perfect market entry, focus on finding the right balance between time, goals, and peace of mind.

Living off Your Investments: What You Really Need to Know

In recent years, the concept of financial independence has gained significant traction. More people are looking to retire early, relying solely on their investments to cover their living expenses. But while the idea of living off your portfolio may sound appealing, it’s crucial to dive deeper into what it truly means, especially considering the challenges involved.

What Does It Take to Live Off Your Investments?

To live off your investments, you essentially need a portfolio that generates enough passive income to cover your living costs. The traditional rule many refer to is the “4% Rule,” which suggests that if you accumulate enough wealth to withdraw 4% annually from your investment portfolio, you can maintain your lifestyle indefinitely without depleting your capital.

For instance, if you need $40,000 per year to cover your living expenses, your portfolio should amount to at least $1 million ($40,000 ÷ 0.04). This approach works under the assumption that your investments will grow at a reasonable rate, typically around 7% per year, which has been the average return of the S&P 500 over the long term.

But here’s the catch: while the 4% rule is a helpful guideline, it doesn’t account for critical variables such as inflation, market volatility, or unexpected life events.

The Key Factor: Portfolio Growth

One of the biggest mistakes people make when planning to live off their investments is not considering how their portfolio needs to continue growing. Without growth, the effects of inflation will erode your purchasing power, and eventually, your portfolio will not be able to cover the same lifestyle it once did.

Let’s say you retire and rely on a 4% annual withdrawal. In the early years, this can work well. However, over time, inflation will increase the cost of living, and you may find yourself needing to withdraw more than the original 4% to maintain the same standard of living. That’s why it’s crucial that your portfolio grows at least at the rate of inflation—or even better, generates extra returns that can be reinvested to maintain and grow your wealth.

In short, your portfolio must continue to generate returns and ideally be reinvested, so that it doesn’t just maintain the purchasing power but also keeps growing. Simply withdrawing the entire gain each year may not be enough. You need to ensure your portfolio outpaces inflation, or else your money will lose value over time.

The Reality: Periods of Below-Average Returns

Another important consideration is market performance. Over time, the market doesn’t always deliver high returns. There will be periods of stagnation or even downturns. In these years, your portfolio might not generate the same returns as expected, or might even suffer losses.

During such periods, it’s crucial that you don’t tap into your principal. Otherwise, you risk diminishing your portfolio just when it’s most vulnerable. Ideally, you should be able to cover living expenses from your portfolio’s income without dipping into the capital, especially during lean years. This means living off dividends and interest rather than capital gains, which will allow your investments to continue working for you even in tough times.

The Importance of Managing Big Expenses

While saving on small daily expenses can be helpful, it’s not where the real difference lies in living off investments. You might save a few bucks by cutting out that morning coffee or choosing a cheaper yogurt, but these small savings won’t have a significant impact on your financial independence.

Instead, focus on managing the big expenses. This includes housing costs, insurance premiums, healthcare, and other major financial commitments. For example, having the right insurance coverage can protect you from unexpected large costs that could derail your financial plans. Similarly, having an emergency fund ensures that you can cover sudden expenses without needing to liquidate parts of your portfolio, especially during market downturns.

The Balance Between Freedom and Lifestyle

It’s crucial to understand that achieving financial independence doesn’t mean living a life of extreme frugality or deprivation. A comfortable retirement is about having the freedom to enjoy life, not about cutting back every possible expense. You shouldn’t aim for a “bare-bones” lifestyle just to live off your investments. It’s important to find a balance that allows you to live comfortably while also securing your future.

The goal of financial independence should be to give you the freedom to spend your time as you wish, without worrying about money. This means your portfolio should allow you to maintain a standard of living that supports your happiness and well-being, not force you into a lifestyle of constant sacrifice.

Conclusion: A Strategic Approach to Living Off Your Investments

Achieving financial independence through investments is an attainable goal, but it requires strategic planning, discipline, and flexibility. You need to be realistic about the amount of wealth required to maintain your desired lifestyle, and you must ensure that your portfolio is well-managed to weather both market highs and lows.

The 4% rule can be a good starting point, but it’s essential to remember that your portfolio needs to grow consistently to outpace inflation and ensure that you don’t run out of funds in the future. Additionally, managing large expenses effectively and maintaining a balance between enjoying life and saving for the future is key to making your investment journey sustainable.

By approaching the idea of living off your investments with a clear, long-term strategy, you can achieve financial independence and secure the freedom to live life on your terms.

Voluntary Declaration of Poverty: How Aversion to Stock Market Investing Dooms Entire Nations to Fragile Futures

We live in an era where life expectancy is rising, pension systems are shrinking, and inflation quietly erodes the real value of money. In this context, the stock market is one of the most effective tools to preserve purchasing power, protect savings, and build wealth over the long term. And yet, as illustrated by a recent infographic from Visual Capitalist, many countries show an alarmingly low level of participation in the markets.

A Wave Passing Beneath Our Feet

In the United States, more than 55% of the population is exposed to financial markets—whether through direct equity ownership, retirement funds, ETFs, or 401(k) plans. In Canada (49%) and Australia (37%), investing is equally normalized—seen as a responsible, even essential, part of adult life.

In stark contrast, only 7% of Italians invest in stocks. The picture is similarly bleak in India (6%), Brazil (8%), and China (6%). This means the vast majority of citizens in these countries do not benefit from one of the most consistently profitable avenues for long-term growth. For example, the S&P 500 has delivered an average annual return of around 10% over the past 90 years. No savings account or government bond can match this over time.

A Practical Example: What Happens to €10,000 Over Time?

In a bank account (0% return): In 20 years, it remains €10,000—but inflation will have eaten away 30–40% of its real purchasing power.
Invested in global equities at a 7% average annual return: It becomes around €38,000.

The difference is staggering. Not investing means standing still while the world moves forward.

Financial Literacy: The Real Divide Between North and South

The true difference between market participants and non-participants isn’t income—it’s culture.

In Anglo-Saxon countries, financial education begins early—often in high school—and is reinforced by systems that empower citizens to take control of their financial futures. In countries like Italy, however, personal finance is virtually absent from school curricula and often taboo at home. As a result, many people view the stock market as a form of gambling, while leaving their money idle in low-yield accounts.

According to the Bank of Italy, only 30% of Italians understand basic financial concepts such as compound interest, inflation, or diversification—well below the OECD average (Bank of Italy – Household Finance Survey, 2023).

Fear of Risk Is the Greatest Risk of All

Ironically, it’s often fear of losing money that prevents people from making money. But today, the greatest financial risk isn’t market volatility—it’s allowing your money to wither away, untouched and unprotected.

Yes, markets fluctuate. There are downturns and crises. But history shows that long-term investors who stay the course typically come out ahead. Even someone who invested right before the 2008 crisis or the 2020 pandemic crash would likely be sitting on substantial gains today. Time, not timing, is the investor’s best friend.

Global Case Studies

Australia: The mandatory superannuation system—a national retirement fund scheme—has transformed millions into investors. Today, 37% of Australians own stocks.
Vietnam: Despite modest per capita income, market participation has reached 16%, driven by digital access and strong generational optimism.
Germany: Traditionally conservative, German households have doubled their investment activity since 2019, largely through ETFs and automated investing platforms.

Investing Is Not Just an Opportunity—It’s a Civic Duty

Investing is not only a personal choice—it’s a collective economic behavior with wide-reaching consequences. The more citizens invest, the more capital flows into businesses, the more resilient the economy becomes, and the less pressure there is on public pensions.

In an era where the welfare state is retreating and financial responsibility is shifting to the individual, the stock market is one of the few remaining tools for economic self-defense.

Conclusion: Investing Is an Act of Freedom

Refusing to invest—whether out of fear, ignorance, or misinformation—is essentially a silent declaration: a resignation to stagnation, a surrender of future potential. This is all the more tragic in a world where low-cost investing tools are accessible and widespread.

Countries like Italy, Brasil and Spain must stop viewing investing as a privilege for the few and start treating it as a right for all. This requires a cultural revolution—starting in classrooms, families, and media. Because to invest, like to work, save, and build, is not just a financial decision. It’s a life choice.

3 Truths About Investing You Should Remember (Especially on the Worst Days)

We live in an era where access to financial markets has never been easier or more democratic. And yet, fear still dominates the decisions of many investors—or worse, those who avoid investing altogether.

You don’t need complex formulas or crystal-ball predictions to navigate this world. Sometimes, just three simple data points can radically shift your perspective. Not only do they show what the market has done—they also reflect how human behavior reacts to it.

Here are three essential truths every investor should write down and revisit—especially when the skies look darkest.

1. The Market Is Positive More Often Than You Think

Over the past 25 years, the U.S. stock market (S&P 500) ended the year in the green 17 out of 25 times. That’s 68% of the time.

Put another way: nearly 7 out of every 10 years delivered a positive return.

So why does it always feel like a crash is looming?

Because the human mind is wired to remember pain more vividly than peace. Crashes, shocks, and losses make noise. Gains? They happen quietly.

This leads to a distorted perception of reality.

Investing is counterintuitive: you often need the courage to stay the course exactly when every instinct tells you to run.

2. Even in Winning Years, There Were Sharp Drops

Here’s the more surprising truth: even in most of those positive years, the market experienced temporary declines of 5–10%, and in some cases even 20% or more.

Yet those dips did not stop the market from finishing the year in profit.

This is a misunderstood concept: volatility isn’t the price of admission—it’s the nature of the ride.

Some see a temporary -10% drop and think, “I need to sell before it gets worse.” Others recognize it as a normal part of the journey—and maybe even an opportunity to invest more.

3. Long-Term Investors Have Been Rewarded—Despite Everything

From 1999 to 2024, the world went through:

The dot-com bubble,
The 2008 global financial crisis,
The 2020 pandemic,
Not to mention Brexit, wars, European debt crises, and more.

Yet, an investor who put $100,000 into the S&P 500 at the start of that period would now have $666,300—with dividends reinvested.

That’s a total return of +566%, or an annualized return of 7.85%.

A performance that no savings account or government bond could even come close to matching.

But This Is Not a Magic Formula to Get Rich

These numbers are not guarantees.

They do not mean that:

The next 25 years will necessarily look the same;
Everyone should put all their savings into the S&P 500;
It’s easy to stay invested during the worst moments.

The truth is, investing isn’t just math. It’s psychology.

Knowing the market has rewarded patience is helpful—but staying the course when everything feels like it’s falling apart is what really sets successful investors apart.

Final Thought: Three Stats, One Clear Message

The data tells a simple, powerful story: the market rewards patience, consistency, and knowledge.

Investing is not gambling. It’s not about “timing the market.” It’s about embracing time, volatility, and even discomfort.

Those who can do this often look back and realize that the crises which once felt terrifying were merely part of the journey toward a better financial future.

What Q1 2025 Earnings Are Telling Us: A Strong Start with a Note of Caution

The first quarter of 2025 is shaping up to be more dynamic than expected for companies in the S&P 500. With over a third of constituents having already reported their earnings, some clear trends are emerging: profits are beating expectations, a few sectors are standing out as growth drivers, and despite macroeconomic uncertainties, U.S. corporations seem to have started the year on solid footing. Still, signs of caution are surfacing that deserve close attention.

Earnings Growth Exceeding Expectations

According to FactSet, 36% of S&P 500 companies have released their Q1 results. The numbers are telling: aggregate earnings are up 10.1% year-over-year, significantly ahead of the 7% growth expected just a week ago. If this pace continues as more results come in, Q1 2025 would mark the second consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth—and the seventh straight quarter of year-over-year earnings gains for the index.

This upbeat trend comes despite persistent uncertainty around interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions. For now, U.S. corporate earnings appear resilient.

Sector Standouts: Healthcare, Tech, and Communications

The strong earnings growth is largely being powered by a few key sectors. Communication services, financials, and healthcare have delivered standout performances, with companies in these industries surpassing expectations.

Communication services shined last week, led by strong results from heavyweights like Netflix and Alphabet.
Financials and healthcare began showing strength in late March and continue to outperform.
Conversely, the energy sector is lagging, hampered by softer commodity price dynamics compared to Q1 2024.

Strong EPS Beats, But Fewer Surprises

So far, 73% of companies have exceeded EPS estimates—a solid figure, though slightly below the 5-year average (77%) and the 10-year average (75%). However, the magnitude of the beats is larger than usual: the average EPS surprise is +10%, outpacing the 5-year average (8.8%) and the 10-year average (6.9%).

Corporate Guidance Remains Sparse

One of the more telling trends this quarter is the drop in forward guidance. Only 16% of reporting companies have issued guidance for future quarters, compared to 27% during the same period in 2024. This signals heightened caution, likely a reflection of ongoing economic uncertainty.

Revenue Growth: Positive, But More Moderate

Revenue trends are also positive, though more subdued than earnings growth. 64% of companies have reported revenue above expectations—on par with the 10-year average but slightly below the 5-year norm (69%).

Overall, revenue is up 4.6% year-over-year, modestly above the 4.3% pace recorded last week. Notably, 10 of 11 sectors are reporting revenue growth, with industrials being the only segment showing a slight decline.

Outlook for 2025: Continued Growth, Slower Pace

Looking ahead, analysts remain optimistic, though they expect growth to moderate in upcoming quarters:

+6.4% earnings growth expected in Q2
+8.8% in Q3
+8.3% in Q4

For the full year, S&P 500 earnings are projected to rise by 9.7%.

Valuations: Still High, But Not Excessive

The forward P/E ratio for the S&P 500 currently stands at 19.8, slightly down from 20.2 at the end of March. This is just below the 5-year average (19.9), but still above the 10-year average (18.3). Valuations remain elevated, but not unreasonably so—especially if earnings growth continues to hold up.

A Crucial Week Ahead

The busiest stretch of the earnings season is upon us. This week, roughly 180 companies are set to report, including mega-cap names like Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Coca-Cola, Pfizer, and McDonald’s. With tech and consumer giants on deck, market sentiment could shift dramatically depending on how these players perform.

Bottom Line: Encouraging Signals, But the Full Picture is Still Forming

Q1 2025 earnings so far deliver a strong message: U.S. corporate fundamentals remain solid. Earnings growth is outpacing expectations, revenue is rising across most sectors, and valuations are relatively stable.

That said, the drop in guidance issuance and sector divergence suggest companies are still navigating a complex environment. As more earnings roll in, the coming weeks will be key to confirming whether this strong start can carry through the rest of the year.

What Warren Buffett’s Most Iconic Quotes Teach Us: 7 Timeless Investment Strategies

Warren Buffett, one of the wisest and most successful investors in history, has consistently shared his strategies and philosophy for building wealth. His quotes are timeless pearls of wisdom that not only help understand how to approach investments but also offer life lessons applicable to many aspects of our lives. In this article, I have selected seven of his most famous quotes and analyzed them, relating them to current economic developments and the opportunities we can seize today.

1. “The stock market is simple: buy shares of a great company for less than their intrinsic value. The company should be run by competent and honest managers. Once you’ve done that, hold the shares forever.”

According to Buffett, the key to investment success is purchasing high-quality companies at a reasonable price and holding on to the shares for the long term. In a market that tends to favor short-term investing and frantic trading, Buffett encourages us to adopt a long-term investment strategy focused on intrinsic value and competent management. Today, with increasing access to financial analysis and corporate performance data, the question is: how can we identify a good deal in a rapidly changing market? The answer lies in seeking solid management and having the patience to allow the company to grow over time.

In this article, I also discussed alternative strategies for evaluating companies to invest in.

2. “Investing must be rational: if you don’t understand it, don’t do it.”

Buffett reminds us that knowledge is power: without fully understanding an investment, we should never take the plunge. The most common mistake is getting swept up in the latest trend, as is often the case with popular stocks or cryptocurrencies. The importance of only investing in what you truly understand is more crucial than ever today, when markets are filled with complex assets that are difficult to analyze without a solid background. Buffett’s advice is to avoid blind greed and make decisions based on a strong understanding of the businesses and assets we invest in.

3. “It’s better to be approximately right than precisely wrong.”

It’s okay to be informed, but there’s no need to have all the perfect and precise information (which, by the way, is very hard to come by). This quote teaches us that action is often more important than perfection. In the world of investing, the error of striving for perfection can be more harmful than a rough estimate. If we wait too long to obtain “certainty” on every single detail, we might miss the boat. Acting with a reasonable approach and accepting a margin of error is far more effective than endlessly searching for precision. Patience is key to avoiding decision paralysis and making choices that, while not perfect, are sufficiently right.

4. “The first rule is not to lose. The second rule is not to forget the first rule.”

This quote underscores the importance of protecting capital. Buffett highlights that diversification is one of the best techniques to reduce risk. During events like the 2008 financial crisis, when many investors suffered devastating losses, Buffett demonstrated that prudence and risk management are essential to navigating the turbulent waters of the market. While diversification might reduce potential returns, it helps protect against unforeseen events—the so-called “black swans.” Without diversification, we risk seeing our capital wiped out due to a single mistake.

In this article, I also touched on a particular type of diversification, geographical diversification.

5. “Be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy.”

Buffett’s words capture one of the most powerful concepts of contrarian investing. Markets are often driven by emotions: fear during crises and greed during booms. Buffett encourages us to exploit these collective emotions: buy when others are selling out of fear, and sell when everyone is swept up in euphoria. During the 2008 financial crisis, Buffett made bold bets on the market’s recovery, profiting immensely when others were paralyzed by fear. The lesson here is that the contrarian investor often finds incredible opportunities when the market is most fearful.

In this article, I also discussed this topic.

6. “In business, the best thing to do is the simplest thing, but doing it is always very difficult.”

Buffett warns us that while simplicity is key to business success, it’s often difficult to execute. Too often, investors and entrepreneurs are tempted by complex strategies or projects that seem promising but end up in confusion. Investing in solid companies, buying at reasonable prices, and maintaining a diversified portfolio are all actions that are simple to understand but require discipline to implement. The real difficulty lies in staying true to these rules without being distracted by the complexity and noise of the market.

Do you remember what the Super Bowl taught us?

7. “It takes just as little time to see the positive side of life as it does to see the negative side.”

Buffett reminds us that a positive attitude is a powerful asset, especially in challenging times. During the 2008 crisis, Buffett chose to bet on the recovery. When asked why he was so optimistic, he simply replied that there was no alternative: either he would win (and make a lot of money), or capitalism would collapse and money would lose its value. Choosing to remain optimistic and invest in the recovery wasn’t just the right move—it was the only sensible one. Having a positive mindset allows us to spot opportunities even in the toughest times. It helps us react proactively and look toward the future with hope, rather than being overwhelmed by fear and uncertainty.

In this article, I talked about the importance of staying rational, and thus optimistic, even in the worst of times.

Conclusion

Warren Buffett’s quotes serve as an indispensable guide for anyone who wants to understand the fundamental principles of investing and financial success. His philosophy is rooted in rationality, patience, optimism, and diversification. Investing in solid companies at reasonable prices, holding a portfolio for the long term, and knowing how to seize opportunities when others are fearful are lessons that remain valid in today’s financial landscape.

If you resonate with this philosophy, you can start implementing these strategies and, as Buffett says, “being approximately right” is far better than being precisely wrong.

An Extra 1% Every Year: How a Small Increase in Investments Can Lead to Incredible Results

Imagine you had the opportunity to increase just 1% the percentage of your salary you save or invest each year. It might seem like a trivial change, right? Yet, by applying this simple adjustment over several years, the results could be astonishing. Thanks to compound interest, even the smallest percentage increase can make a huge difference in the long run.

A Concrete Example: The Power of 1% Annually

Let’s assume you decide to save 10% of your salary every year and invest this amount in a portfolio that offers a 5% annual return. If you maintain this consistent savings rate for 30 years, the amount you accumulate will be impressive.

Year 1: Save $1,000.
Subsequent years: Each year, you earn a 5% return on your investments.

At the end of the 30 years, you’ll have accumulated approximately $100,000 due to this consistent saving. But now, let’s imagine what would happen if you decided to increase the percentage of your savings by a modest 1% each year. Starting from the initial 10%, in the second year, you’d save 11%, in the third year 12%, and so on.

The Impact of an Additional 1% Each Year

Let’s consider that your savings rate starts at 10%, and you increase it by 1% every year (so, in the second year, you save 11%, in the third year 12%, and so on). If you apply this incremental increase each year for 30 years, the final amount won’t just be higher; it will also experience exponential growth due to compound interest.

Year 1: You save $1,000.
Year 2: You save $1,100 (1,000 + 10% of the previous year).
Year 3: You save $1,210 (11% of the previous year).

Continuing in this manner, over time, your capital grows significantly. Thanks to the annual increase of 1%, by the end of 30 years, you could have accumulated not just $100,000, but around $150,000 or more, depending on market conditions. This happens because you’re not only increasing the amount you save every year, but the interest on your savings is multiplying as the total sum you’re working with grows.

The Final Result: The Power of Consistency

What does this all mean? If you start saving and investing just 1% more each year, without even noticing it, your savings and investments will grow at a much faster rate. The key to all of this is compound interest: it’s not just about the money you save, but how that money grows over time thanks to the interest that compounds on itself. At first, the effect may seem slow, but as time passes, it becomes increasingly significant. A 1% annual increase may seem minimal, but the cumulative effect over 10, 20, or 30 years is incredible.

The Dynamics of Compound Interest

To better understand, you need to realize that compound interest is a process that sustains itself. Each year, the amount you’ve invested grows not just because of the money you’ve put aside, but also because of the interest added to your existing capital. In the beginning, the effect may be slow, but over time, it becomes more and more powerful. A 1% annual increase may seem negligible, but the cumulative effect on your savings over 10, 20, or 30 years is remarkable.

In conclusion, even a small increase like 1% can have an enormous impact over time. The key lies in consistency and patience: with compound interest, every small saving effort adds up and grows exponentially, leading to extraordinary results that you might not have imagined when you first started. Don’t underestimate the power of a small annual increase — over time, it will make a massive difference for your financial future.